On the second day of the high-level meeting of the 65th UN General Assembly, world
leaders are focussing on averting renewed conflict in the lead up to the an independence
referendum for southern Sudan.
Preparations for a January vote are well behind
schedule, and there are fears that a vote to secede will lead to violence given the
south’s substantially known oil resources.
Earlier this week, Kenyan President
Mwai Kibaki told the U.N. General Assembly's annual ministerial meeting that the leaders
from Northern and Southern Sudan reaffirmed their commitment to resolve all outstanding
issues and accept the outcome of the vote.
“There is the issue of the debt,
there is the issue of the Nile water,” describes Fouad Hikmat, the International Crisis
Group's special adviser on Sudan. “There is the issue of the one third of the population
of Sudan who live along the Savannah Belt, which is actually divided by the boarders
of 1956 between the south and the north.”
Hikmat also says that there are tribes
that live around the boarder near Abyei who, under a special protocol by the International
Court of Arbitration, move some 2 million cattle from north to south for nine months
out of the year.
“If these people feel that the boarders are going to be […]
hard boarders, they might not have the right to vote during the referendum of Abyei,”
Hikmat says, “and they might shoot the first bullet – or anybody from the other side
who might stop their cattle from going down because of the tension around the referendum.”
Hikmat fears that such a situation could escalate and derail the whole comprehensive
peace agreement.